By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, Edition 23 2015
Key Points
- The Greek No vote means more uncertainty ahead regarding Greece, with significantly heightened risk of aGreek exit from the Euro.
- The threat of a flow on to other Eurozone countries is likely to keep markets on edge in the short term. However, contagion is likely to be limited as the rest of
Europe is now in far stronger shape than was the case in the 2010-12 Eurozone crisis and defence mechanisms against contagion are now stronger. - As a result we don’t see the Greek debacle derailing the European or global economic recoveries. So while the correction in shares looks like it might go further, the broad rising trend in markets is likely to continue.