Oliver’s Insights

Shane Oliver’s latest article looks at the increasing spread of coronavirus. Key Points: While reported new coronavirus cases in China have slowed, the pickup in cases outside China has led to a renewed sharp fall in share markets, commodity prices and bond yields. Our base case is that the outbreak will be contained allowing share markets and bond yields to... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, 19th February 2020 Shane Oliver’s latest article addresses the concern that central banks are distorting market forces, leading to overvaluation of prices for assets like shares and property. Key Points: Shares are vulnerable to a short-term correction. But with inflation low, and as long as... Read more

Shane Oliver’s latest article looks at coronavirus and other worries, and how to turn down the noise around investing. Key Points: The coronavirus outbreak is just another of a long list of worries. Our natural inclination to zoom in on negative news combined with a massive ramp-up in the availability of information is arguably making us worse investors: more fearful,... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, 7th November 2019 Key points: There is no denying concerns about global debt, seemingly never ending QE, more debt trading on negative interest rates, inequality and geopolitical threats. However, some of these concerns are exaggerated andthere are five reasons why I am not so fussed... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, 17th September 2019 Key points Oil prices have risen over the last few days reflecting drone attacks that impact 6% of world oil supply. The choke point for global growth from higher oil prices is normally a doubling in prices. We are a long way... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, 27 March 2018 Key points Australian growth is likely to be weak over the next year or so and this will prompt further monetary easing and fiscal stimulus. However, several positives suggest recession is unlikely: the current account deficit has collapsed; the $A helps stabilise... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital,  04 June 2019 In Shane Oliver’s latest article he looks at the RBA cut to rates to a new record low – Why? Will it work? How low will rates go? What does it mean for investors? Key points: The RBA’s latest rate cut is aimed... Read more

The Rules to Investing During Times of Uncertainty

Written by Kate O'Brien, Managing Director - Edney Ryan Wealth Management

In a recent edition of Oliver’s Insights, Dr Shane Oliver outlined his top tips for investing during times of uncertainty. Given the rough and tumble of today’s economic climate, we thought it was worth taking a look at these tips to see how they affect our own Wealth Management clients. 1. Use the Power of Compound Interest Consider this: One... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital,  27 March 2018 Key points Worries about the Fed, trade wars (the risk of which has been significantly exaggerated) and President Trump generally have increased the risk around the global outlook but are unlikely to drive a major bear market. The key issue is whether the... Read more

By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, 9 February 2018 Key points The current pullback in shares has been triggered by worries around US inflation, the Fed and rising bond yields but made worse by an unwinding of bets that volatility would continue to fall. We may have seen the worst, but it’s too early... Read more