By Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist from Oliver’s Insights, AMP Capital, Edition 3 2016

Key points

  • Oil prices are down more than 70% from their levels two years ago driven by a combination of a surge in supply relative to demand and a rise in the value of the $US.
  • Further weakness down to $US20/barrel is possible, but we are getting closer to the point where supply slows.
  • So far the negative impact on oil producers has predominated but ultimately it will be positive for growth.
  • The fall in petrol prices is saving the average Australian household around $14 a week versus two years ago.

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